Generating hourly temperature values for future change to climate

Building designers often now predict the performance of buildings simulation programmes that require hourly weather data. However, not all weather stations provide hourly data. Climate prediction models such as HadCM3 also provide the daily average dry bulb temperature as well as the maximum and minimum. Hourly temperature values are available for building thermal simulations that accounts for future changes to climate. In order to make full use of these predicted future weather data in building simulation programmes, algorithms for downscaling daily values to hourly values are required. This paper describes a more accurate method for generating hourly temperature values in the South Korea that uses the improvement of the quality of the generated values. All methods were evaluated for accuracy and stability in terms of the absolute mean error and the mean-square error. They were compared with hourly data collected in Seoul and Ulsan, South Korea.